aces flop 60% on merge

[wwwin]

Ax (not including AA and only counting hands that made it to showdown won or lost) have hit me on the flop 22/134 in the sample I have on Carbon. That's about 16.4%. It should be 18% in the long run. I have hit an ace at some point throughout the hand in 39/134 or about 29.1%. That should be 30% in the long run. 2 of these 134 hands hit 2 aces. I factored those as hitting an ace and did not add that to the percent.

AA preflop have hit a 3rd in 1/9 flops (again only counting hands that have made it to showdown). That's 11.1%. It should be 12%. A third at any point in the hand in 2/9 hands. That's 22.2%. It should be 20%.

My numbers demonstrate that the card dealing is fair (every way I break it down from every poker software site I've tracked shows the same with the exception of see too high of a percentage of straights making it on Pokerstars, but that's extremely old data). I think you really just tend to notice the losses and gin cards being hit more than when they don't. And 2 months online equals WAY more hands than 10 years live even only at one table.

Regards. (Let me know if you want hand histories. I'll gladly post them, but it may take some work to pull it together correctly.)

there goes the rigged theory