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  1. #1
    PokerOwned God jasonv12's Avatar
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    Ax (not including AA and only counting hands that made it to showdown won or lost) have hit me on the flop 22/134 in the sample I have on Carbon. That's about 16.4%. It should be 18% in the long run. I have hit an ace at some point throughout the hand in 39/134 or about 29.1%. That should be 30% in the long run. 2 of these 134 hands hit 2 aces. I factored those as hitting an ace and did not add that to the percent.

    AA preflop have hit a 3rd in 1/9 flops (again only counting hands that have made it to showdown). That's 11.1%. It should be 12%. A third at any point in the hand in 2/9 hands. That's 22.2%. It should be 20%.

    My numbers demonstrate that the card dealing is fair (every way I break it down from every poker software site I've tracked shows the same with the exception of see too high of a percentage of straights making it on Pokerstars, but that's extremely old data). I think you really just tend to notice the losses and gin cards being hit more than when they don't. And 2 months online equals WAY more hands than 10 years live even only at one table.

    Regards. (Let me know if you want hand histories. I'll gladly post them, but it may take some work to pull it together correctly.)

  2. #2
    Elite PokerOwned Member
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    thank you , it just seems like more, very useful info

  3. #3
    TON is Gone.
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    Oct 2012
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    Quote Originally Posted by jasonv12 View Post
    Ax (not including AA and only counting hands that made it to showdown won or lost) have hit me on the flop 22/134 in the sample I have on Carbon. That's about 16.4%. It should be 18% in the long run. I have hit an ace at some point throughout the hand in 39/134 or about 29.1%. That should be 30% in the long run. 2 of these 134 hands hit 2 aces. I factored those as hitting an ace and did not add that to the percent.

    AA preflop have hit a 3rd in 1/9 flops (again only counting hands that have made it to showdown). That's 11.1%. It should be 12%. A third at any point in the hand in 2/9 hands. That's 22.2%. It should be 20%.

    My numbers demonstrate that the card dealing is fair (every way I break it down from every poker software site I've tracked shows the same with the exception of see too high of a percentage of straights making it on Pokerstars, but that's extremely old data). I think you really just tend to notice the losses and gin cards being hit more than when they don't. And 2 months online equals WAY more hands than 10 years live even only at one table.

    Regards. (Let me know if you want hand histories. I'll gladly post them, but it may take some work to pull it together correctly.)
    THANK YOU JASONV12. F'real!
    TON is GONE. Blame the Mods. They stopped caring, or at least that's how it looks and feels.

  4. #4
    Elite PokerOwned Member
    Join Date
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    Quote Originally Posted by jasonv12 View Post
    Ax (not including AA and only counting hands that made it to showdown won or lost) have hit me on the flop 22/134 in the sample I have on Carbon. That's about 16.4%. It should be 18% in the long run. I have hit an ace at some point throughout the hand in 39/134 or about 29.1%. That should be 30% in the long run. 2 of these 134 hands hit 2 aces. I factored those as hitting an ace and did not add that to the percent.

    AA preflop have hit a 3rd in 1/9 flops (again only counting hands that have made it to showdown). That's 11.1%. It should be 12%. A third at any point in the hand in 2/9 hands. That's 22.2%. It should be 20%.

    My numbers demonstrate that the card dealing is fair (every way I break it down from every poker software site I've tracked shows the same with the exception of see too high of a percentage of straights making it on Pokerstars, but that's extremely old data). I think you really just tend to notice the losses and gin cards being hit more than when they don't. And 2 months online equals WAY more hands than 10 years live even only at one table.

    Regards. (Let me know if you want hand histories. I'll gladly post them, but it may take some work to pull it together correctly.)
    there goes the rigged theory

  5. #5
    PokerOwned Demi-God
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
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    Quote Originally Posted by jasonv12 View Post
    Ax (not including AA and only counting hands that made it to showdown won or lost) have hit me on the flop 22/134 in the sample I have on Carbon. That's about 16.4%. It should be 18% in the long run. I have hit an ace at some point throughout the hand in 39/134 or about 29.1%. That should be 30% in the long run. 2 of these 134 hands hit 2 aces. I factored those as hitting an ace and did not add that to the percent.

    AA preflop have hit a 3rd in 1/9 flops (again only counting hands that have made it to showdown). That's 11.1%. It should be 12%. A third at any point in the hand in 2/9 hands. That's 22.2%. It should be 20%.

    My numbers demonstrate that the card dealing is fair (every way I break it down from every poker software site I've tracked shows the same with the exception of see too high of a percentage of straights making it on Pokerstars, but that's extremely old data). I think you really just tend to notice the losses and gin cards being hit more than when they don't. And 2 months online equals WAY more hands than 10 years live even only at one table.

    Regards. (Let me know if you want hand histories. I'll gladly post them, but it may take some work to pull it together correctly.)
    Finally, someone w/some numbers to show that the numbers r where they should be, albeit a small sample it still shows what everyone else says isnt true. Ive been wanting to do this for so long but my HM wont run on my laptop for some reason.

    Thank You much JasonV12

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