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  1. #1
    PokerOwned Master
    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Posts
    292

    Think you're imagining bad beats....

    see for yourself with evidence. Found this article about calculating the standard deviation for ev all-in preflop and postflop.

    Online Poker Watchdog - Downloads - Test your own hand histories!

    If you used Poker Tracker they have 4 reports that you can download: 2 reports for cash - all-in ev preflop and all-in ev postflop as well as same 2 reports for tournaments.

    Make sure to watch the videos as the reports themselves don't make much sense. You need to export the reports and calculate the deviation in excel.

    I ran the test against the hands I have and found that the deviation for ALL records (this includes hand which were observed and I was not a part of) was within the acceptable parameters (i.e. within 2 standard deviations).

    Then I filtered only hands that I was involved and found that the standard deviation was 4x the ev, which is outside the norm. Guess I am not too crazy after all. I just hope this variance swings the other way and I start winning more than I should.

    Anyhow, thought I would share with the group so you can see just how bad you're running.

    Good luck at the tables!
    Last edited by joefine; 02-14-2012 at 06:33 PM.

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