IF I have good reads of the players at my table I wouldn't do it, also it has to do with table dynamics too like blinds, stack sizes, stage in tournament, how many players left till bubble all these things have to be taken into affect, yes there is a LUCK factor involved, you can not beat luck it's that simple.

My advice, move onto the next hand and beat him or her at that one simple. Bad beats WILL happens it's apart of the game.