Quote Originally Posted by ssuglia View Post
If you would rather make excuses than work on your game, this is the perfect article for you.

It would be more beneficial to study and try to fix your leaks than focus on why you don't win.
That's not the point of the article. It is impossible to mathematically calculate for player skill, thus it must be assumed that skill (and all other factors except the cards) are held constant. Under this assumption, he sets up a "luck" distribution, which, given the insane number of possibilities, will approximate a normal curve (due to the central limit theorem). This means that 68% of players will fall between the mean and plus/minus 1 standard of deviation, 95% within 2 SDs, and 99.7% within 3 SDs. It is inevitable that some players will land far below or far above the mean.

However, I do agree with you, not everyone is the same skill level, you can avoid -EV spots by simply folding pre-flop, thus this article is nothing more than useless theory. I'm sure plenty of people will read it and then just attribute their previous losses to them getting the short end of the luck distribution (also not the point of the article) and use it as a shoulder to cry on.