fold AA preflop?

[Theromeo2k]

No, no , no and no. I understand the situation you were in (near the bubble and covered in chips) but, the short stack was short stacked and could have just trying to steal the blinds with ANY TWO cards. The first deep stacked guy probably read this as well and was expected to be light (Axs, 22-99, SCs,). The second guy however, could have identified what the first guy was doing, thus getting it in with a range that he considered was crushing the first guy due to that situation. So we can put the second guy who went all in with a range like this: KQs, AQo, AQs, AKo, AKs, TT-KK.

Ok, so putting all this info into an odds calculator we get something like this: first guy we gave 60% of hands, Second guy we gave 15% of hands, and third guy we gave 5% of hands. And of course we give you Pocket Rockets to close the action.

Against 3 players all in pre-flop you have 61% equity. They all have around 13% equity against YOUR actual hand. This is a dream spot to Triple up in a situation where everyone will be pushing super light due to the bubble mechanics and ICM pressure. To win in the FT, the more chips you have the better the chances for you to win it. Had you tripled up in that spot, your chances of winning would've been greater than the value of any min cash.

In conclusion, this was a terrible mistake given that circumstances. Remember, the fact that you would've lost for whatever reason doesn't justify a bad play. Don't be results oriented, always look for the best spots to maximize value and improve your chances of winning.

Cheers,
TheRomeo2K

[buonafide]

No, no , no and no. I understand the situation you were in (near the bubble and covered in chips) but, the short stack was short stacked and could have just trying to steal the blinds with ANY TWO cards. The first deep stacked guy probably read this as well and was expected to be light (Axs, 22-99, SCs,). The second guy however, could have identified what the first guy was doing, thus getting it in with a range that he considered was crushing the first guy due to that situation. So we can put the second guy who went all in with a range like this: KQs, AQo, AQs, AKo, AKs, TT-KK.

Ok, so putting all this info into an odds calculator we get something like this: first guy we gave 60% of hands, Second guy we gave 15% of hands, and third guy we gave 5% of hands. And of course we give you Pocket Rockets to close the action.

Against 3 players all in pre-flop you have 61% equity. They all have around 13% equity against YOUR actual hand. This is a dream spot to Triple up in a situation where everyone will be pushing super light due to the bubble mechanics and ICM pressure. To win in the FT, the more chips you have the better the chances for you to win it. Had you tripled up in that spot, your chances of winning would've been greater than the value of any min cash.

In conclusion, this was a terrible mistake given that circumstances. Remember, the fact that you would've lost for whatever reason doesn't justify a bad play. Don't be results oriented, always look for the best spots to maximize value and improve your chances of winning.

Cheers,
TheRomeo2K

Those approximate stats were going through my head during the decision. In the end, I thought that I could afford to wait for a better opportunity to risk my monster stack.

[don7238]

I think there is something strange about this. It happens to me sometimes while on the bubble. I get hand that I think is going to win and you several that put you all in. If you call u lose the hand, i hated when this happens

[tdeuel214]

I guess you should fold AA AA.jpgAA.jpgAA.jpg