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  1. #1
    PokerOwned Master aldo2010's Avatar
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    Poker Probabilities

    Here are some basic probabilities that you should know:
    Flush Probabilities
    Probability of being dealt suited cards: 23.5%
    Probability of flopping a flush when holding two suited cards: 0.8%
    Probability of flopping a flush draw when holding two suited cards: 10.9%
    Probability of hitting a flush draw (both turn/river, needing one card to hit): 35%

    Straight Probabilities
    Probability of hitting an open-ended straight draw (i.e. 4 straight cards, need one on either end to hit on turn or river): 31.5%
    Probability of hitting a gutshot draw (inside straight draw) on turn or river: 16.5%

    Pocket Pair Probabilities
    Probability of being dealt a pocket pair: 5.9%
    Probability of hitting a three of a kind or quads at the flop when you hold a pocket pair: 11.8%
    Probability of being dealt AA: 0.45%

    Unpaired Hole Cards Probabilities
    Probability of making a pair with one of your hole cards (example: hitting an ace or a king if you hold AK): 32.4%
    Probability of hitting two pair on the flop with each of your hole cards (example: hitting both an ace and a king on the flop, when holding AK): 2%

    Ace Probabilities
    Probability that at least one of your hole cards is an ace: 14.9%
    Probability of no one holding an ace, assuming you do not have an ace, by the number of opponents. Note: this can be used for any card (because the chances of you being dealt an ace or a king is exactly the same).:
    84.5%
    70.9%
    59.0%
    48.6%
    39.7%
    32.1%
    25.6%
    20.1%
    15.6%
    Probability someone else does not have an ace, assuming you do have an ace, by total number of opponents:
    88.2%
    77.5%
    67.7%
    58.6%
    50.4%
    43.0%
    36.4%
    30.5%
    25.3%

  2. #2
    PokerOwned Pro BoostMyBR's Avatar
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    Very interesting post, aldo!

    I will definitely refer back to this in the future.

  3. #3
    Zab
    Zab is offline
    PokerOwned Admin Zab's Avatar
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    Probability of flopping a flush when holding two suited cards: 0.8%

    wow, seems like it happens more often than that..
    "And Shepherds we shall be. For thee, my Lord, for thee.
    Power hath descended forth from Thy hand. Our feet may swiftly carry out Thy commands.
    So we shall flow a river forth to Thee And teeming with souls shall it ever be.
    In Nomeni Patri Et Fili Spiritus Sancti."
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_AtUXdXA_s

  4. #4
    PokerOwned Pro BoostMyBR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Zabulus32 View Post
    Probability of flopping a flush when holding two suited cards: 0.8%

    wow, seems like it happens more often than that..
    There were quite a few of those that seemed weird.

    I see it a lot more than 1% of the time.

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