Quote Originally Posted by tta91690 View Post
Each hand is independent; you are misinterpreting what they are saying. In the long run, if you keep getting it in ahead, you will win, its based upon the Central Limit Theorem (basically, that as your sample size goes towards infinity, your variance goes to 0). Thats a big simplification, but it should illustrate the point.
I understand that. I was referring to practice and not theory of what goes on and in a tourney every hand collectively effects the final outcome. I'm just saying it doesn't matter if you win 999 out of 1000 hands against the guy chasing a draw. Yeah that would mean they pay you off more than not, but all it takes is that 1 loss to knock you out of a tourney if they have more chips than you. So in a tourney setting where you'll have multiple hands where you face off against someone chasing something, it doesn't matter if more often than not your gonna win the individual hand against the guy chasing because the few that you lose will end up costing you more in the long run.