My theory is based on taking points for games, not money lines (a team that's -300 isn't a coin flip in essence).
My take on this is how the odds diverge once you add more teams. For example:
- 3 teamer pays 6:1, rough odds are 8:1
- 4 teamer pays 10:1, rough odds are 16:1
- 5 teamer pays 20:1, rough odds are 32:1
etc.
So I'd personally prefer 3 because you're getting the closest odds between hitting it and the payout. I usually do a 3 teamer heavy, and then an el cheapo 7-8 teamer. My point with Tommy's bets was they were all 7-8 teamers and they shared a lot of the same games (so if 1 loses, he's done).
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06-14-2013, 12:45 PM #1
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06-14-2013, 12:52 PM #2
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correct. if i lose 1 im done in most cases. i swithed up 1 or 2 in each parlay. the combinations in a 9 teamer is outrageous. but i also agree with bc7. i missed a 9 teamer by 1 game last week. missed a 10 teamer by 2 games a cpl weeks ago. its all about gambling. ill gamble 1$ to win 1k all day. and if you noticed ive been throwing in a few 3-5 teamers to try and make a lil money
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06-14-2013, 12:54 PM #3
Of course, and that's what I was trying to say: I love the thrill of hitting one and making a ton cheap. I'm still looking at it from the bookie perspective; I don't allow anyone to make parlays of more than 4 teams with me (that's how books get busted), but the guys that own me during football season do 3 teamers and smoke it.
Please tell me you never do reverses