Total Free Money Earned

Redeems: $280,339

BTC Rate: $8269.37

Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 14
  1. #1
    CEO - Truth Commission rivdee's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Posts
    2,587

    Friday parlay and weekend baseball series betting trends

    As Tommy has been putting up parlays, I feel I should point something out; I understand the thrill of hitting a 7 teamer at 130:1 odds, but the reality is it never happens. I always feel you're better off taking a 3/4 teamer and betting it stronger...that being said, here are some games for tonight, and some trends for the next 3 days.

  2. #2
    CEO - Truth Commission rivdee's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Posts
    2,587
    Tonight's parlay:
    Stl (-141) at Florida
    Chi (-180) at Houston

    These are both in my continued efforts to always bet against the Marlins and Astros

    Phillies (+1.5 -210) at Colorado
    Colorado has had trouble with Kendrick over his career, and he's a groundball pitcher in that ballpark. Phils will keep it close

    NYY (+1.5 -160) at LAA
    Angels have been inconsistent, bullpen has been bad, and they can't hit lefties. I like the money line here too, but the run line is safer.

    5.48 : 1 on this bet.

  3. #3
    PokerOwned Veteran
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    97
    Hmm, well not sure what this is about or where it is

  4. #4
    CEO - Truth Commission rivdee's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Posts
    2,587
    I'll put up the weekend stuff too; great value on betting a few of these series'

  5. #5
    CEO - Truth Commission rivdee's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Posts
    2,587
    OK, here are some series that I like value wise:

    Oakland (-180) vs. Seattle
    Oakland is 41-9 in last 50 vs. a team with a losing record.

    Cleveland (-115) vs. Washington
    Washington is overrated by odds makers/Cleveland has won last 7 interleague games and traditionally kills the NL East

    St Louis (-240) vs. Florida / Chicago (-220) vs. Houston
    Two worst teams in baseball.

    If you can parlay all 4, take it. Merge doesn't allow it, but I think BCP does

  6. #6
    Banned
    Join Date
    Apr 2011
    Posts
    155
    I agree you're better off taking a 3-4 team parlay, but I have to disagree when you say 7 team parlays never hit. I hit a 7 team and an 8 team parlay last month, and recently been missing out on my 10 team parlays by 2-3 games. Why not an make an educated guess and bet $1-$2 a piece on 10 team parlay also? I feel like I'ma hit a 10 teamer sooner than later.

  7. #7
    CEO - Truth Commission rivdee's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Posts
    2,587
    Quote Originally Posted by BC7Falcons7 View Post
    I agree you're better off taking a 3-4 team parlay, but I have to disagree when you say 7 team parlays never hit. I hit a 7 team and an 8 team parlay last month, and recently been missing out on my 10 team parlays by 2-3 games. Why not an make an educated guess and bet $1-$2 a piece on 10 team parlay also? I feel like I'ma hit a 10 teamer sooner than later.
    My theory is based on taking points for games, not money lines (a team that's -300 isn't a coin flip in essence).
    My take on this is how the odds diverge once you add more teams. For example:
    - 3 teamer pays 6:1, rough odds are 8:1
    - 4 teamer pays 10:1, rough odds are 16:1
    - 5 teamer pays 20:1, rough odds are 32:1
    etc.

    So I'd personally prefer 3 because you're getting the closest odds between hitting it and the payout. I usually do a 3 teamer heavy, and then an el cheapo 7-8 teamer. My point with Tommy's bets was they were all 7-8 teamers and they shared a lot of the same games (so if 1 loses, he's done).

  8. #8
    Survey Master
    Join Date
    Jan 2012
    Posts
    2,925
    Quote Originally Posted by rivdee View Post
    My theory is based on taking points for games, not money lines (a team that's -300 isn't a coin flip in essence).
    My take on this is how the odds diverge once you add more teams. For example:
    - 3 teamer pays 6:1, rough odds are 8:1
    - 4 teamer pays 10:1, rough odds are 16:1
    - 5 teamer pays 20:1, rough odds are 32:1
    etc.

    So I'd personally prefer 3 because you're getting the closest odds between hitting it and the payout. I usually do a 3 teamer heavy, and then an el cheapo 7-8 teamer. My point with Tommy's bets was they were all 7-8 teamers and they shared a lot of the same games (so if 1 loses, he's done).
    correct. if i lose 1 im done in most cases. i swithed up 1 or 2 in each parlay. the combinations in a 9 teamer is outrageous. but i also agree with bc7. i missed a 9 teamer by 1 game last week. missed a 10 teamer by 2 games a cpl weeks ago. its all about gambling. ill gamble 1$ to win 1k all day. and if you noticed ive been throwing in a few 3-5 teamers to try and make a lil money

  9. #9
    CEO - Truth Commission rivdee's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Posts
    2,587
    Quote Originally Posted by tommy62278 View Post
    correct. if i lose 1 im done in most cases. i swithed up 1 or 2 in each parlay. the combinations in a 9 teamer is outrageous. but i also agree with bc7. i missed a 9 teamer by 1 game last week. missed a 10 teamer by 2 games a cpl weeks ago. its all about gambling. ill gamble 1$ to win 1k all day. and if you noticed ive been throwing in a few 3-5 teamers to try and make a lil money
    Of course, and that's what I was trying to say: I love the thrill of hitting one and making a ton cheap. I'm still looking at it from the bookie perspective; I don't allow anyone to make parlays of more than 4 teams with me (that's how books get busted), but the guys that own me during football season do 3 teamers and smoke it.

    Please tell me you never do reverses

  10. #10
    Banned
    Join Date
    Apr 2011
    Posts
    155
    Gl Rivdee! I've put in 2 parlays as of right now and going to put in 2-3 more smaller ones here in a bit. Here's the two I have so far...

    [902] TOTAL u8-115 (LA DODGERS vrs PIT PIRATES)
    ( S FIFE -R / J LOCKE -L )
    06/14/2013 @ 04:10 PM MLB [904] TOTAL u8?-115 (MIL BREWERS vrs CIN REDS)
    ( K LOHSE -R / B ARROYO -R )
    06/14/2013 @ 04:10 PM MLB [905] CHI CUBS +114
    ( ACTION )
    06/14/2013 @ 04:10 PM MLB [908] TOTAL u7?-115 (STL CARDINALS vrs MIA MARLINS)
    ( J WESTBROOK -R / J FERNANDEZ -R )
    06/14/2013 @ 04:35 PM MLB [910] TOTAL u7EV (SFO GIANTS vrs ATL BRAVES)
    ( M BUMGARNER -L / K MEDLEN -R )
    06/14/2013 @ 05:40 PM MLB [912] TOTAL u9?-110 (PHI PHILLIES vrs COL ROCKIES)
    ( K KENDRICK -R / J NICASIO -R )
    06/14/2013 @ 04:10 PM MLB [917] KC ROYALS +147
    ( ACTION )
    06/14/2013 @ 05:05 PM MLB [919] TOR B-JAYS +111
    ( ACTION )
    06/14/2013 @ 07:05 PM MLB [925] NY YANKEES +118
    ( ACTION )
    06/14/2013 @ 07:05 PM MLB [928] OAK ATHLETICS -1?+11

    $1 to win $1194.65


    [902] TOTAL u8-115 (LA DODGERS vrs PIT PIRATES)
    ( S FIFE -R / J LOCKE -L )
    06/14/2013 @ 04:10 PM MLB [904] TOTAL u8?-115 (MIL BREWERS vrs CIN REDS)
    ( K LOHSE -R / B ARROYO -R )
    06/14/2013 @ 04:10 PM MLB [905] TOTAL o7?+105 (CHI CUBS vrs NY METS)
    ( E JACKSON -R / S MARCUM -R )
    06/14/2013 @ 04:10 PM MLB [908] TOTAL u7?-115 (STL CARDINALS vrs MIA MARLINS)
    ( J WESTBROOK -R / J FERNANDEZ -R )
    06/14/2013 @ 05:40 PM MLB [912] TOTAL u9?-110 (PHI PHILLIES vrs COL ROCKIES)
    ( K KENDRICK -R / J NICASIO -R )
    06/14/2013 @ 07:10 PM MLB [914] SDG PADRES -1?+180
    ( T CAHILL -R / E STULTS -L )
    06/14/2013 @ 04:10 PM MLB [917] KC ROYALS +147
    ( ACTION )
    06/14/2013 @ 05:05 PM MLB [919] TOR B-JAYS +111
    ( ACTION )
    06/14/2013 @ 07:05 PM MLB [925] NY YANKEES +130
    ( ACTION )
    06/14/2013 @ 07:05 PM MLB [928] OAK ATHLETICS -1?+110
    ( J SAUNDERS -L / T MILONE -L

    $2 to win $3000

Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •